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Can Red Bull Charge Monaco? Friday 27th May 2016

Don’t expect this kind of thing two races running…but it might get wet

The Spanish Grand Prix should have been a bolted-on certainty for one of the Mercedes drivers. Very rarely does the polesitter lose the race at the Circuit de Catalunya, it’s rarer still for neither of the front row to get a win, let alone fail to complete the first lap. But such was the upset of the Hamilton vs Rosberg clash that Max Verstappen was able to grab a win on his debut for Red Bull.

Now, following a blinding lap in Thursday practice, Daniel Ricciardo from Red Bull sits on top of the timesheets. That’s a big gap to catch up, even for Mercedes. But that still hasn’t made him favourite for the race. Paddy Power still see Lewis Hamilton as the winner with odds of 7/4. Nico Rosberg is at 2-1, while Ricciardo is at a tempting 5/2.

You can also get pretty good odds on Max Verstappen at 11-1, with Sebastian Vettel a distant 16-1 and Kimi Raikkonen at 66-1. McLaren thought they might be ahead of the Ferraris round Monaco, but they’re certainly not ahead of them in the betting. Both Jenson Button and Fernando are down at 200-1.

The most chaotic Monaco GP of all time was in 1996 when only three cars were running at the finish and Olivier Panis scored his only win. The high attrition rate was caused by wet weather and multiple meetings with the barrier. The weather forecast for this Sunday is wet in the morning, a small period of dry weather during the race and then wet in the late afternoon. That may well shift – in which case, you might, just might get some outrageous result on Sunday.

Worth a small punt on wet weather vituosos such as Vettel, Button and Nico Hulkenburg…? Or how about an each-way on 1000-1 Romain Grosjean?

Paddy Power have stepped up and produced a raft of different sidebets you can have on races now. These include odds for a Top Six Finish, Fastest Lap (this could be really tricky to guess in Monaco), Number of Drivers going out on the first lap, and the Nationality of the winning driver. So it seems a bit mean to ask for more…

But here we go:  Bets we’d like to see Paddy Power create some odds for

  • What are the odds on no American film stars/producers turning up on the grid?

  • 22 cars finishing the race and the Safety Car staying in pitlane?

  • What are the odds on Princess Charlene looking cheerful after the race…?